When we say 60%, teams win about 60% of the time.
An honest, publicly-scored CS2 esports prediction engine — real win probabilities with the reasons behind them, trained without ever seeing betting odds, and tested only on matches it never trained on. An information service. Never a sportsbook.
called right
Measured across 4,069 matches the model never trained on — and it beats always backing the favourite (61.7%).
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Scored on unseen matches. Proof, not a brag.
An information service, built honestly.
01A probability + why
Every match gets a win probability and the factors that moved it — rating gap, map pool, lineup, recent form — shown as diverging bars. No black box.
02Trained blind to markets
The model never sees betting odds. It's tested only on matches outside its training window, so the score reflects real forecasting, not curve-fitting.
03Honest about limits
For low-history matchups we flag the pick limited — we show which team we lean toward, not a confident percentage, and keep it out of the headline score. When we have no basis at all, we withhold — we don't publish an estimate we can't stand behind.
04Locked in before the match
Each pick gets a digital fingerprint before the match and is revealed after. It proves we didn't edit the pick; independent timing proof is not yet built. How it works →