Predictions
When we say 60%, teams win about 60% of the time. Scored in the open — every pick locked in before the match, then scored against the result.
0.2233 calibration score
63.8% winner called right
Lower is better — 0.250 is a coin flip. Every match scored was one the model never trained on.
coin flip 0.250
always favourite 0.238
ratings-only 0.231
Calibrated 0.2233
4,069 matches scored · all unseen in training
Upcoming
locked in before each matchLoading the upcoming slate…
Past / Results
scored against the resultEvery past pick is shown — wins and losses. What we're judged on is calibration, not raw accuracy: a 56% call that loses isn't a broken model — it's a 56% call.
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